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Winter's closing in, the rollercoaster has began early with the introduction of some mental far out there charts. To continue the hype,...

Hi there, long time no see. It certainly has been a while since we last did a Winter analogue. I have not made much progress on the...

As suggested by @UKWX_ on Twitter, we're going to be looking at the Winters that followed on from Summers which contained a warm June &...

If you go by history, the best chances for a cold Winter is an unsettled September but there have been settled Septembers followed by...

An active Atlantic hurricane season is one of the things we look at for the Winter season solely for the fact that: 1. It dumps a lot of...

For a last Autumn 2018 analogue before the forecast is released this Tuesday, I thought it'd be fun to look at the Autumns in the same...

So.... today's discussion post in regards to Winter is going to be about solar activity which will be a huge talking point this year...

First, let's look at the current state of the north Atlantic. This is the latest global sea surface temperature anomaly from NOAA for 16...

It has come to the time you all have been waiting for. It's been a while coming with the many analogues we've looked at for Autumn 2018...

I have now finally gotten time to sit down and try answer this question (in the blog title) in great detail because it involves a lot of...

To continue the trend of looking at seasons ending in the same number(s) as the current year, for analogue #10 we're going to be looking...

I showed people a strange weather quirk previously on Summers ending in "8" and it was that there was not a hotter than average Summer...

For analogue #13 of Autumn 2018, we're going to be looking at the Autumns that followed on from the driest Summers on record back to 1910...

For analogue #12 of Autumn 2018, we're going to be looking at El Niño Autumns that were preceded by La Niña Winters as 2017-18 was a weak...

For analogue #11 of Autumn 2018, we're going to be looking at ENSO neutral Autumns that were preceded by La Niña Winters as 2017-18 was a...

In analogue #9 for Autumn 2018, we looked at the Autumns that followed on from Junes with a QBO of -20 or less because June 2018 fell...

Previously we looked at the Winters that followed on from Junes with a QBO of -20 or less because June 2018's QBO was -28.45 showing it...

The signals for El Niño are still there for Winter 2018-19 from the models but the teleconnections don't really support the models in...

In the previous analogue blog post for Autumn 2018, we looked at the Autumns that followed on from positive NAO Junes with a NAO index of...

For some reason, I have not done a blog post on my moderate El Niño Winter analogue and as a result, this is what this is going to be...