Sryan BruenAug 17, 20185 min readWhy is there so much uncertainty recently in forecasting and numerical weather predictions?I have now finally gotten time to sit down and try answer this question (in the blog title) in great detail because it involves a lot of...
Sryan BruenJul 16, 20182 min readMonday 16th July NWP update (Part two): Progressive to westerlies or hot?This evening's model runs have certainly thrown a spanner in the works for forecasters and certainty. The GFS 06z was pointing more...
Sryan BruenJul 16, 20182 min readMonday 16th July NWP update: Hot, hot and hot.The models have really upgraded the heat overnight for next weekend and beyond with heatwave conditions again likely to take place over...
Sryan BruenJul 15, 20181 min readSunday 15th July NWP update: Well well well, what do we have here? GFS 0z builds a ridge for the latter part of next weekend into early next week before the Atlantic tries to invade in against a block of...